Sensitivity analysis

Here we perform the sensitivity analysis for \(\tau^{\mathcal{X}}\) and \(\mu^{\mathcal{X}}\).

Natural spline

Results for various options for \(\tau^{\mathcal{X}}\) (results in every row are for one value of the parameter):


First we show the estimated \(\alpha\) values with 95% credible intervals:

We also show the differences in \(R_t\) for the different chosen parameters. We look at the mean \(R_t\) with 95% credible interval in the time until first intervention (\(R_0\)) and after the last intervention (\(R_N\)):